Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.072459 0.084429 0.097690 0.113460 0.131696 0.152114 0.176704
2024-10-06 0.055721 0.071941 0.091741 0.117649 0.150621 0.191151 0.244729
2024-10-13 0.045162 0.063287 0.087188 0.120926 0.167235 0.228484 0.315574
2024-10-20 0.035901 0.053912 0.079258 0.117382 0.173125 0.251486 0.369851
2024-10-27 0.029318 0.046767 0.072754 0.114063 0.177857 0.272380 0.422785
2024-11-03 0.025725 0.043292 0.070800 0.116709 0.191104 0.306537 0.498772
2024-11-10 0.023418 0.041371 0.070785 0.122087 0.208900 0.349301 0.592859
2024-11-17 0.021053 0.038917 0.069447 0.124918 0.222633 0.386839 0.682629
2024-11-24 0.018709 0.036095 0.067015 0.125400 0.232200 0.418231 0.765355
2024-12-01 0.016603 0.033359 0.064304 0.124905 0.239775 0.446741 0.845945
2024-12-08 0.014684 0.030672 0.061281 0.123344 0.245038 0.471455 0.922118
2024-12-15 0.013648 0.029561 0.061068 0.127050 0.260566 0.516483 1.040907
2024-12-22 0.012709 0.028546 0.060973 0.131110 0.277555 0.566687 1.176555
2024-12-29 0.011913 0.027717 0.061145 0.135742 0.296285 0.622425 1.329760
2025-01-05 0.011113 0.026756 0.060906 0.139454 0.313523 0.677019 1.486812
2025-01-12 0.009787 0.024393 0.057311 0.135368 0.313520 0.695976 1.571241
2025-01-19 0.008654 0.022307 0.054042 0.131551 0.313566 0.714894 1.657505
2025-01-26 0.008110 0.021569 0.053765 0.134590 0.329471 0.769930 1.829580
2025-02-02 0.007803 0.021381 0.054760 0.140767 0.353398 0.845355 2.056056
2025-02-09 0.007349 0.020742 0.054571 0.144018 0.370705 0.907458 2.258339
2025-02-16 0.006794 0.019750 0.053370 0.144572 0.381453 0.955336 2.432020
2025-02-23 0.006241 0.018676 0.051814 0.144003 0.389298 0.997070 2.595284
2025-03-02 0.005689 0.017522 0.049890 0.142210 0.393768 1.030990 2.742811